Model Profile

xAI

World Cup 2026 Predictions

Full tournament predictions from group stage to final, locked before the opening match. Game-day picks will appear after those runs are made.

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Bracket lockedBefore kickoff · June 2026
Predicted ChampionSpain flagSpain
Win probability52%
xAI Score (Matches Correct)
Pre-tournament
(Baseline)TBD / 104
Day of Game PredictionTBD / 104

Overview

xAI is running Grok 3.3 for this World Cup benchmark.

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ModelGrok 3.3
Winner PickSpain
Pre-tournament ScoreTBD / 104
Game-Day ScoreTBD / 104

Groups

Predicted group standings. Top 2 teams from each group advance to the Round of 32.

Group ATo Advance
TeamPts
1Mexico flagMexico6
2Czechia flagCzechia6
3Korea Republic flagKorea Republic6
4South Africa flagSouth Africa0
Group BTo Advance
TeamPts
1Switzerland flagSwitzerland9
2Canada flagCanada6
3Bosnia and Herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina3
4Qatar flagQatar0
Group CTo Advance
TeamPts
1Brazil flagBrazil9
2Morocco flagMorocco6
3Scotland flagScotland3
4Haiti flagHaiti0
Group DTo Advance
TeamPts
1USA flagUSA9
2Türkiye flagTürkiye6
3Australia flagAustralia3
4Paraguay flagParaguay0
Group ETo Advance
TeamPts
1Germany flagGermany9
2Côte d'Ivoire flagCôte d'Ivoire6
3Ecuador flagEcuador3
4Curaçao flagCuraçao0
Group FTo Advance
TeamPts
1Netherlands flagNetherlands9
2Japan flagJapan6
3Sweden flagSweden3
4Tunisia flagTunisia0
Group GTo Advance
TeamPts
1Belgium flagBelgium9
2IR Iran flagIR Iran6
3Egypt flagEgypt3
4New Zealand flagNew Zealand0
Group HTo Advance
TeamPts
1Spain flagSpain9
2Uruguay flagUruguay6
3Saudi Arabia flagSaudi Arabia3
4Cabo Verde flagCabo Verde0
Group ITo Advance
TeamPts
1France flagFrance9
2Norway flagNorway6
3Senegal flagSenegal3
4Iraq flagIraq0
Group JTo Advance
TeamPts
1Argentina flagArgentina9
2Algeria flagAlgeria6
3Austria flagAustria3
4Jordan flagJordan0
Group KTo Advance
TeamPts
1Portugal flagPortugal9
2Colombia flagColombia6
3Uzbekistan flagUzbekistan3
4Congo DR flagCongo DR0
Group LTo Advance
TeamPts
1England flagEngland9
2Croatia flagCroatia6
3Ghana flagGhana3
4Panama flagPanama0

Knockout Bracket

Predicted path from the Round of 32 to the final.

All Matches
Round of 32
Germany flagGermanyKorea Republic flagKorea Republic
France flagFranceEgypt flagEgypt
Czechia flagCzechiaCanada flagCanada
Netherlands flagNetherlandsMorocco flagMorocco
Colombia flagColombiaCroatia flagCroatia
Spain flagSpainAlgeria flagAlgeria
USA flagUSAAustria flagAustria
Belgium flagBelgiumSaudi Arabia flagSaudi Arabia
Round of 16
Germany flagGermanyFrance flagFrance
Canada flagCanadaNetherlands flagNetherlands
Croatia flagCroatiaSpain flagSpain
USA flagUSABelgium flagBelgium
Quarterfinals
France flagFranceNetherlands flagNetherlands
Spain flagSpainBelgium flagBelgium
Semifinals
France flagFranceSpain flagSpain
Final
Final
Spain flagSpainArgentina flagArgentina
Predicted Champion
Spain flagSpain
52% win probability
Semifinals
Brazil flagBrazilArgentina flagArgentina
Quarterfinals
Brazil flagBrazilEngland flagEngland
Argentina flagArgentinaPortugal flagPortugal
Round of 16
Brazil flagBrazilNorway flagNorway
Mexico flagMexicoEngland flagEngland
Argentina flagArgentinaTürkiye flagTürkiye
Switzerland flagSwitzerlandPortugal flagPortugal
Round of 32
Brazil flagBrazilJapan flagJapan
Côte d'Ivoire flagCôte d'IvoireNorway flagNorway
Mexico flagMexicoEcuador flagEcuador
England flagEnglandSenegal flagSenegal
Argentina flagArgentinaUruguay flagUruguay
Türkiye flagTürkiyeIR Iran flagIR Iran
Switzerland flagSwitzerlandSweden flagSweden
Portugal flagPortugalAustralia flagAustralia

All Matches

Pre-tournament picks are available for every scheduled match. Game-day picks are pending.

MatchFixturePre-tournament PickGame-Day Pick
M001Thu, Jun 11, 1:00 PMMexico vs South AfricaPre-tournamentMexico flagMexico85%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M002Thu, Jun 11, 8:00 PMKorea Republic vs CzechiaPre-tournamentKorea Republic flagKorea Republic42%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M003Fri, Jun 12, 3:00 PMCanada vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaPre-tournamentCanada flagCanada58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M004Fri, Jun 12, 6:00 PMUSA vs ParaguayPre-tournamentUSA flagUSA55%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M005Sat, Jun 13, 9:00 PMHaiti vs ScotlandPre-tournamentScotland flagScotland45%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M006Sat, Jun 13, 9:00 PMAustralia vs TürkiyePre-tournamentTürkiye flagTürkiye40%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M007Sat, Jun 13, 6:00 PMBrazil vs MoroccoPre-tournamentBrazil flagBrazil48%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M008Sat, Jun 13, 12:00 PMQatar vs SwitzerlandPre-tournamentSwitzerland flagSwitzerland66%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M009Sun, Jun 14, 7:00 PMCôte d'Ivoire vs EcuadorPre-tournamentCôte d'Ivoire flagCôte d'Ivoire36%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M010Sun, Jun 14, 12:00 PMGermany vs CuraçaoPre-tournamentGermany flagGermany92%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M011Sun, Jun 14, 3:00 PMNetherlands vs JapanPre-tournamentNetherlands flagNetherlands52%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M012Sun, Jun 14, 8:00 PMSweden vs TunisiaPre-tournamentSweden flagSweden42%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M013Mon, Jun 15, 6:00 PMSaudi Arabia vs UruguayPre-tournamentUruguay flagUruguay65%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M014Mon, Jun 15, 12:00 PMSpain vs Cabo VerdePre-tournamentSpain flagSpain88%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M015Mon, Jun 15, 6:00 PMIR Iran vs New ZealandPre-tournamentIR Iran flagIR Iran70%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M016Mon, Jun 15, 12:00 PMBelgium vs EgyptPre-tournamentBelgium flagBelgium65%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M017Tue, Jun 16, 3:00 PMFrance vs SenegalPre-tournamentFrance flagFrance58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M018Tue, Jun 16, 6:00 PMIraq vs NorwayPre-tournamentNorway flagNorway63%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M019Tue, Jun 16, 8:00 PMArgentina vs AlgeriaPre-tournamentArgentina flagArgentina72%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M020Tue, Jun 16, 9:00 PMAustria vs JordanPre-tournamentAustria flagAustria75%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M021Wed, Jun 17, 7:00 PMGhana vs PanamaPre-tournamentGhana flagGhana42%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M022Wed, Jun 17, 3:00 PMEngland vs CroatiaPre-tournamentEngland flagEngland45%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M023Wed, Jun 17, 12:00 PMPortugal vs Congo DRPre-tournamentPortugal flagPortugal85%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M024Wed, Jun 17, 8:00 PMUzbekistan vs ColombiaPre-tournamentColombia flagColombia58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M025Thu, Jun 18, 12:00 PMCzechia vs South AfricaPre-tournamentCzechia flagCzechia68%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M026Thu, Jun 18, 12:00 PMSwitzerland vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaPre-tournamentSwitzerland flagSwitzerland72%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M027Thu, Jun 18, 3:00 PMCanada vs QatarPre-tournamentCanada flagCanada62%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M028Thu, Jun 18, 7:00 PMMexico vs Korea RepublicPre-tournamentMexico flagMexico52%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M029Fri, Jun 19, 8:30 PMBrazil vs HaitiPre-tournamentBrazil flagBrazil90%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M030Fri, Jun 19, 6:00 PMScotland vs MoroccoPre-tournamentMorocco flagMorocco50%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M031Fri, Jun 19, 8:00 PMTürkiye vs ParaguayPre-tournamentTürkiye flagTürkiye38%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M032Fri, Jun 19, 12:00 PMUSA vs AustraliaPre-tournamentUSA flagUSA65%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M033Sat, Jun 20, 4:00 PMGermany vs Côte d'IvoirePre-tournamentGermany flagGermany68%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M034Sat, Jun 20, 7:00 PMEcuador vs CuraçaoPre-tournamentEcuador flagEcuador80%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M035Sat, Jun 20, 12:00 PMNetherlands vs SwedenPre-tournamentNetherlands flagNetherlands58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M036Sat, Jun 20, 10:00 PMTunisia vs JapanPre-tournamentJapan flagJapan48%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M037Sun, Jun 21, 6:00 PMUruguay vs Cabo VerdePre-tournamentUruguay flagUruguay82%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M038Sun, Jun 21, 12:00 PMSpain vs Saudi ArabiaPre-tournamentSpain flagSpain80%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M039Sun, Jun 21, 12:00 PMBelgium vs IR IranPre-tournamentBelgium flagBelgium55%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M040Sun, Jun 21, 6:00 PMNew Zealand vs EgyptPre-tournamentEgypt flagEgypt48%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M041Mon, Jun 22, 8:00 PMNorway vs SenegalPre-tournamentNorway flagNorway36%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M042Mon, Jun 22, 5:00 PMFrance vs IraqPre-tournamentFrance flagFrance90%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M043Mon, Jun 22, 12:00 PMArgentina vs AustriaPre-tournamentArgentina flagArgentina55%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M044Mon, Jun 22, 8:00 PMJordan vs AlgeriaPre-tournamentAlgeria flagAlgeria55%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M045Tue, Jun 23, 4:00 PMEngland vs GhanaPre-tournamentEngland flagEngland72%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M046Tue, Jun 23, 7:00 PMPanama vs CroatiaPre-tournamentCroatia flagCroatia68%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M047Tue, Jun 23, 12:00 PMPortugal vs UzbekistanPre-tournamentPortugal flagPortugal78%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M048Tue, Jun 23, 8:00 PMColombia vs Congo DRPre-tournamentColombia flagColombia75%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M049Wed, Jun 24, 6:00 PMScotland vs BrazilPre-tournamentBrazil flagBrazil75%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M050Wed, Jun 24, 6:00 PMMorocco vs HaitiPre-tournamentMorocco flagMorocco82%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M051Wed, Jun 24, 12:00 PMSwitzerland vs CanadaPre-tournamentSwitzerland flagSwitzerland45%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M052Wed, Jun 24, 12:00 PMBosnia and Herzegovina vs QatarPre-tournamentBosnia and Herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina35%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M053Wed, Jun 24, 7:00 PMCzechia vs MexicoPre-tournamentCzechia flagCzechia45%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M054Wed, Jun 24, 7:00 PMSouth Africa vs Korea RepublicPre-tournamentKorea Republic flagKorea Republic52%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M055Thu, Jun 25, 4:00 PMCuraçao vs Côte d'IvoirePre-tournamentCôte d'Ivoire flagCôte d'Ivoire55%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M056Thu, Jun 25, 4:00 PMEcuador vs GermanyPre-tournamentGermany flagGermany55%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M057Thu, Jun 25, 6:00 PMJapan vs SwedenPre-tournamentJapan flagJapan45%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M058Thu, Jun 25, 6:00 PMTunisia vs NetherlandsPre-tournamentNetherlands flagNetherlands72%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M059Thu, Jun 25, 7:00 PMTürkiye vs USAPre-tournamentUSA flagUSA48%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M060Thu, Jun 25, 7:00 PMParaguay vs AustraliaPre-tournamentAustralia flagAustralia35%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M061Fri, Jun 26, 3:00 PMNorway vs FrancePre-tournamentFrance flagFrance62%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M062Fri, Jun 26, 3:00 PMSenegal vs IraqPre-tournamentSenegal flagSenegal72%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M063Fri, Jun 26, 8:00 PMEgypt vs IR IranPre-tournamentIR Iran flagIR Iran38%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M064Fri, Jun 26, 8:00 PMNew Zealand vs BelgiumPre-tournamentBelgium flagBelgium88%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M065Fri, Jun 26, 7:00 PMCabo Verde vs Saudi ArabiaPre-tournamentSaudi Arabia flagSaudi Arabia40%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M066Fri, Jun 26, 6:00 PMUruguay vs SpainPre-tournamentSpain flagSpain48%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M067Sat, Jun 27, 5:00 PMPanama vs EnglandPre-tournamentEngland flagEngland82%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M068Sat, Jun 27, 5:00 PMCroatia vs GhanaPre-tournamentCroatia flagCroatia55%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M069Sat, Jun 27, 9:00 PMAlgeria vs AustriaPre-tournamentAlgeria flagAlgeria42%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M070Sat, Jun 27, 9:00 PMJordan vs ArgentinaPre-tournamentArgentina flagArgentina85%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M071Sat, Jun 27, 7:30 PMColombia vs PortugalPre-tournamentPortugal flagPortugal48%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M072Sat, Jun 27, 7:30 PMCongo DR vs UzbekistanPre-tournamentUzbekistan flagUzbekistan36%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M073Sun, Jun 28, 12:00 PM2A vs 2BPre-tournament2B2B58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M074Mon, Jun 29, 4:30 PM1E vs 3ABCDFPre-tournament1E1E88%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M075Mon, Jun 29, 7:00 PM1F vs 2CPre-tournament1F1F52%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M076Mon, Jun 29, 12:00 PM1C vs 2FPre-tournament1C1C58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M077Tue, Jun 30, 5:00 PM1I vs 3CDFGHPre-tournament1I1I90%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M078Tue, Jun 30, 12:00 PM2E vs 2IPre-tournament2I2I53%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M079Tue, Jun 30, 7:00 PM1A vs 3CEFHIPre-tournament1A1A68%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M080Wed, Jul 1, 12:00 PM1L vs 3EHIJKPre-tournament1L1L62%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M081Wed, Jul 1, 5:00 PM1D vs 3BEFIJPre-tournament1D1D58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M082Wed, Jul 1, 1:00 PM1G vs 3AEHIJPre-tournament1G1G72%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M083Thu, Jul 2, 7:00 PM2K vs 2LPre-tournament2L2L55%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M084Thu, Jul 2, 12:00 PM1H vs 2JPre-tournament1H1H68%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M085Thu, Jul 2, 8:00 PM1B vs 3EFGIJPre-tournament1B1B58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M086Fri, Jul 3, 6:00 PM1J vs 2HPre-tournament1J1J52%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M087Fri, Jul 3, 8:30 PM1K vs 3DEIJLPre-tournament1K1K65%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M088Fri, Jul 3, 1:00 PM2D vs 2GPre-tournament2D2D52%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M089Sat, Jul 4, 5:00 PMW74 vs W77Pre-tournamentW77W7752%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M090Sat, Jul 4, 12:00 PMW73 vs W75Pre-tournamentW75W7578%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M091Sun, Jul 5, 4:00 PMW76 vs W78Pre-tournamentW76W7662%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M092Sun, Jul 5, 6:00 PMW79 vs W80Pre-tournamentW80W8065%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M093Mon, Jul 6, 2:00 PMW83 vs W84Pre-tournamentW84W8462%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M094Mon, Jul 6, 5:00 PMW81 vs W82Pre-tournamentW82W8268%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M095Tue, Jul 7, 12:00 PMW86 vs W88Pre-tournamentW86W8668%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M096Tue, Jul 7, 1:00 PMW85 vs W87Pre-tournamentW87W8755%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M097Thu, Jul 9, 4:00 PMW89 vs W90Pre-tournamentW89W8952%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M098Fri, Jul 10, 12:00 PMW93 vs W94Pre-tournamentW93W9355%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M099Sat, Jul 11, 5:00 PMW91 vs W92Pre-tournamentW91W9151%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M100Sat, Jul 11, 8:00 PMW95 vs W96Pre-tournamentW95W9552%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M101Tue, Jul 14, 2:00 PMW97 vs W98Pre-tournamentW98W9852%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M102Wed, Jul 15, 3:00 PMW99 vs W100Pre-tournamentW100W10052%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M103Sat, Jul 18, 5:00 PMRU101 vs RU102Pre-tournamentRU102RU10258%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M104Sun, Jul 19, 3:00 PMW101 vs W102Pre-tournamentW101W10152%Game dayPendingNot run yet

Insights

Quick read on this model's tournament shape.

Champion conviction52% on Spain

The champion pick is carried through the final bracket path.

Advancement calls24 group qualifiers

Each group has two projected teams advancing to the knockout stage.

Coverage104 match picks

Pre-tournament predictions are loaded for every listed match. Game-day predictions have not run yet.