Model Profile

OpenAI

World Cup 2026 Predictions

Full tournament predictions from group stage to final, locked before the opening match. Game-day picks will appear after those runs are made.

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Bracket lockedBefore kickoff · June 2026
Predicted ChampionSpain flagSpain
Win probability56%
OpenAI Score (Matches Correct)
Pre-tournament
(Baseline)TBD / 104
Day of Game PredictionTBD / 104

Overview

OpenAI is running GPT 5.5 for this World Cup benchmark.

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ModelGPT 5.5
Winner PickSpain
Pre-tournament ScoreTBD / 104
Game-Day ScoreTBD / 104

Groups

Predicted group standings. Top 2 teams from each group advance to the Round of 32.

Group ATo Advance
TeamPts
1Mexico flagMexico9
2Korea Republic flagKorea Republic4
3Czechia flagCzechia4
4South Africa flagSouth Africa0
Group BTo Advance
TeamPts
1Canada flagCanada7
2Switzerland flagSwitzerland7
3Bosnia and Herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina3
4Qatar flagQatar0
Group CTo Advance
TeamPts
1Brazil flagBrazil9
2Morocco flagMorocco6
3Scotland flagScotland3
4Haiti flagHaiti0
Group DTo Advance
TeamPts
1USA flagUSA7
2Türkiye flagTürkiye5
3Paraguay flagParaguay4
4Australia flagAustralia0
Group ETo Advance
TeamPts
1Germany flagGermany9
2Ecuador flagEcuador4
3Côte d'Ivoire flagCôte d'Ivoire4
4Curaçao flagCuraçao0
Group FTo Advance
TeamPts
1Netherlands flagNetherlands9
2Japan flagJapan4
3Sweden flagSweden4
4Tunisia flagTunisia0
Group GTo Advance
TeamPts
1Belgium flagBelgium9
2IR Iran flagIR Iran4
3Egypt flagEgypt4
4New Zealand flagNew Zealand0
Group HTo Advance
TeamPts
1Spain flagSpain7
2Uruguay flagUruguay7
3Saudi Arabia flagSaudi Arabia3
4Cabo Verde flagCabo Verde0
Group ITo Advance
TeamPts
1France flagFrance9
2Norway flagNorway6
3Senegal flagSenegal3
4Iraq flagIraq0
Group JTo Advance
TeamPts
1Argentina flagArgentina9
2Austria flagAustria4
3Algeria flagAlgeria4
4Jordan flagJordan0
Group KTo Advance
TeamPts
1Portugal flagPortugal7
2Colombia flagColombia7
3Congo DR flagCongo DR3
4Uzbekistan flagUzbekistan0
Group LTo Advance
TeamPts
1England flagEngland9
2Croatia flagCroatia6
3Ghana flagGhana3
4Panama flagPanama0

Knockout Bracket

Predicted path from the Round of 32 to the final.

All Matches
Round of 32
Germany flagGermanyCzechia flagCzechia
France flagFranceEgypt flagEgypt
Korea Republic flagKorea RepublicSwitzerland flagSwitzerland
Netherlands flagNetherlandsMorocco flagMorocco
Colombia flagColombiaCroatia flagCroatia
Spain flagSpainAustria flagAustria
USA flagUSASweden flagSweden
Belgium flagBelgiumSenegal flagSenegal
Round of 16
Germany flagGermanyFrance flagFrance
Switzerland flagSwitzerlandNetherlands flagNetherlands
Colombia flagColombiaSpain flagSpain
USA flagUSABelgium flagBelgium
Quarterfinals
France flagFranceNetherlands flagNetherlands
Spain flagSpainBelgium flagBelgium
Semifinals
France flagFranceSpain flagSpain
Final
Final
Spain flagSpainArgentina flagArgentina
Predicted Champion
Spain flagSpain
56% win probability
Semifinals
Brazil flagBrazilArgentina flagArgentina
Quarterfinals
Brazil flagBrazilEngland flagEngland
Argentina flagArgentinaPortugal flagPortugal
Round of 16
Brazil flagBrazilNorway flagNorway
Mexico flagMexicoEngland flagEngland
Argentina flagArgentinaTürkiye flagTürkiye
Canada flagCanadaPortugal flagPortugal
Round of 32
Brazil flagBrazilJapan flagJapan
Ecuador flagEcuadorNorway flagNorway
Mexico flagMexicoCôte d'Ivoire flagCôte d'Ivoire
England flagEnglandAlgeria flagAlgeria
Argentina flagArgentinaUruguay flagUruguay
Türkiye flagTürkiyeIR Iran flagIR Iran
Canada flagCanadaEgypt flagEgypt
Portugal flagPortugalParaguay flagParaguay

All Matches

Pre-tournament picks are available for every scheduled match. Game-day picks are pending.

MatchFixturePre-tournament PickGame-Day Pick
M001Thu, Jun 11, 1:00 PMMexico vs South AfricaPre-tournamentMexico flagMexico60%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M002Thu, Jun 11, 8:00 PMKorea Republic vs CzechiaPre-tournamentDraw35%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M003Fri, Jun 12, 3:00 PMCanada vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaPre-tournamentCanada flagCanada49%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M004Fri, Jun 12, 6:00 PMUSA vs ParaguayPre-tournamentUSA flagUSA43%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M005Sat, Jun 13, 9:00 PMHaiti vs ScotlandPre-tournamentScotland flagScotland46%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M006Sat, Jun 13, 9:00 PMAustralia vs TürkiyePre-tournamentTürkiye flagTürkiye44%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M007Sat, Jun 13, 6:00 PMBrazil vs MoroccoPre-tournamentBrazil flagBrazil45%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M008Sat, Jun 13, 12:00 PMQatar vs SwitzerlandPre-tournamentSwitzerland flagSwitzerland57%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M009Sun, Jun 14, 7:00 PMCôte d'Ivoire vs EcuadorPre-tournamentDraw35%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M010Sun, Jun 14, 12:00 PMGermany vs CuraçaoPre-tournamentGermany flagGermany78%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M011Sun, Jun 14, 3:00 PMNetherlands vs JapanPre-tournamentNetherlands flagNetherlands43%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M012Sun, Jun 14, 8:00 PMSweden vs TunisiaPre-tournamentSweden flagSweden39%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M013Mon, Jun 15, 6:00 PMSaudi Arabia vs UruguayPre-tournamentUruguay flagUruguay58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M014Mon, Jun 15, 12:00 PMSpain vs Cabo VerdePre-tournamentSpain flagSpain74%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M015Mon, Jun 15, 6:00 PMIR Iran vs New ZealandPre-tournamentIR Iran flagIR Iran51%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M016Mon, Jun 15, 12:00 PMBelgium vs EgyptPre-tournamentBelgium flagBelgium47%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M017Tue, Jun 16, 3:00 PMFrance vs SenegalPre-tournamentFrance flagFrance53%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M018Tue, Jun 16, 6:00 PMIraq vs NorwayPre-tournamentNorway flagNorway61%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M019Tue, Jun 16, 8:00 PMArgentina vs AlgeriaPre-tournamentArgentina flagArgentina58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M020Tue, Jun 16, 9:00 PMAustria vs JordanPre-tournamentAustria flagAustria57%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M021Wed, Jun 17, 7:00 PMGhana vs PanamaPre-tournamentGhana flagGhana41%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M022Wed, Jun 17, 3:00 PMEngland vs CroatiaPre-tournamentEngland flagEngland50%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M023Wed, Jun 17, 12:00 PMPortugal vs Congo DRPre-tournamentPortugal flagPortugal67%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M024Wed, Jun 17, 8:00 PMUzbekistan vs ColombiaPre-tournamentColombia flagColombia52%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M025Thu, Jun 18, 12:00 PMCzechia vs South AfricaPre-tournamentCzechia flagCzechia42%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M026Thu, Jun 18, 12:00 PMSwitzerland vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaPre-tournamentSwitzerland flagSwitzerland46%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M027Thu, Jun 18, 3:00 PMCanada vs QatarPre-tournamentCanada flagCanada55%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M028Thu, Jun 18, 7:00 PMMexico vs Korea RepublicPre-tournamentMexico flagMexico47%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M029Fri, Jun 19, 8:30 PMBrazil vs HaitiPre-tournamentBrazil flagBrazil73%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M030Fri, Jun 19, 6:00 PMScotland vs MoroccoPre-tournamentMorocco flagMorocco46%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M031Fri, Jun 19, 8:00 PMTürkiye vs ParaguayPre-tournamentDraw36%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M032Fri, Jun 19, 12:00 PMUSA vs AustraliaPre-tournamentUSA flagUSA49%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M033Sat, Jun 20, 4:00 PMGermany vs Côte d'IvoirePre-tournamentGermany flagGermany56%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M034Sat, Jun 20, 7:00 PMEcuador vs CuraçaoPre-tournamentEcuador flagEcuador61%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M035Sat, Jun 20, 12:00 PMNetherlands vs SwedenPre-tournamentNetherlands flagNetherlands48%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M036Sat, Jun 20, 10:00 PMTunisia vs JapanPre-tournamentJapan flagJapan44%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M037Sun, Jun 21, 6:00 PMUruguay vs Cabo VerdePre-tournamentUruguay flagUruguay66%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M038Sun, Jun 21, 12:00 PMSpain vs Saudi ArabiaPre-tournamentSpain flagSpain75%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M039Sun, Jun 21, 12:00 PMBelgium vs IR IranPre-tournamentBelgium flagBelgium48%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M040Sun, Jun 21, 6:00 PMNew Zealand vs EgyptPre-tournamentEgypt flagEgypt49%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M041Mon, Jun 22, 8:00 PMNorway vs SenegalPre-tournamentNorway flagNorway37%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M042Mon, Jun 22, 5:00 PMFrance vs IraqPre-tournamentFrance flagFrance74%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M043Mon, Jun 22, 12:00 PMArgentina vs AustriaPre-tournamentArgentina flagArgentina47%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M044Mon, Jun 22, 8:00 PMJordan vs AlgeriaPre-tournamentAlgeria flagAlgeria47%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M045Tue, Jun 23, 4:00 PMEngland vs GhanaPre-tournamentEngland flagEngland61%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M046Tue, Jun 23, 7:00 PMPanama vs CroatiaPre-tournamentCroatia flagCroatia51%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M047Tue, Jun 23, 12:00 PMPortugal vs UzbekistanPre-tournamentPortugal flagPortugal65%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M048Tue, Jun 23, 8:00 PMColombia vs Congo DRPre-tournamentColombia flagColombia53%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M049Wed, Jun 24, 6:00 PMScotland vs BrazilPre-tournamentBrazil flagBrazil61%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M050Wed, Jun 24, 6:00 PMMorocco vs HaitiPre-tournamentMorocco flagMorocco62%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M051Wed, Jun 24, 12:00 PMSwitzerland vs CanadaPre-tournamentDraw34%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M052Wed, Jun 24, 12:00 PMBosnia and Herzegovina vs QatarPre-tournamentBosnia and Herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina43%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M053Wed, Jun 24, 7:00 PMCzechia vs MexicoPre-tournamentMexico flagMexico47%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M054Wed, Jun 24, 7:00 PMSouth Africa vs Korea RepublicPre-tournamentKorea Republic flagKorea Republic43%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M055Thu, Jun 25, 4:00 PMCuraçao vs Côte d'IvoirePre-tournamentCôte d'Ivoire flagCôte d'Ivoire56%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M056Thu, Jun 25, 4:00 PMEcuador vs GermanyPre-tournamentGermany flagGermany46%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M057Thu, Jun 25, 6:00 PMJapan vs SwedenPre-tournamentDraw35%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M058Thu, Jun 25, 6:00 PMTunisia vs NetherlandsPre-tournamentNetherlands flagNetherlands55%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M059Thu, Jun 25, 7:00 PMTürkiye vs USAPre-tournamentDraw35%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M060Thu, Jun 25, 7:00 PMParaguay vs AustraliaPre-tournamentParaguay flagParaguay38%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M061Fri, Jun 26, 3:00 PMNorway vs FrancePre-tournamentFrance flagFrance50%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M062Fri, Jun 26, 3:00 PMSenegal vs IraqPre-tournamentSenegal flagSenegal60%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M063Fri, Jun 26, 8:00 PMEgypt vs IR IranPre-tournamentDraw35%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M064Fri, Jun 26, 8:00 PMNew Zealand vs BelgiumPre-tournamentBelgium flagBelgium61%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M065Fri, Jun 26, 7:00 PMCabo Verde vs Saudi ArabiaPre-tournamentSaudi Arabia flagSaudi Arabia41%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M066Fri, Jun 26, 6:00 PMUruguay vs SpainPre-tournamentDraw36%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M067Sat, Jun 27, 5:00 PMPanama vs EnglandPre-tournamentEngland flagEngland70%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M068Sat, Jun 27, 5:00 PMCroatia vs GhanaPre-tournamentCroatia flagCroatia43%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M069Sat, Jun 27, 9:00 PMAlgeria vs AustriaPre-tournamentDraw34%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M070Sat, Jun 27, 9:00 PMJordan vs ArgentinaPre-tournamentArgentina flagArgentina72%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M071Sat, Jun 27, 7:30 PMColombia vs PortugalPre-tournamentDraw35%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M072Sat, Jun 27, 7:30 PMCongo DR vs UzbekistanPre-tournamentCongo DR flagCongo DR39%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M073Sun, Jun 28, 12:00 PM2A vs 2BPre-tournament2B2B54%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M074Mon, Jun 29, 4:30 PM1E vs 3ABCDFPre-tournament1E1E73%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M075Mon, Jun 29, 7:00 PM1F vs 2CPre-tournament1F1F56%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M076Mon, Jun 29, 12:00 PM1C vs 2FPre-tournament1C1C66%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M077Tue, Jun 30, 5:00 PM1I vs 3CDFGHPre-tournament1I1I76%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M078Tue, Jun 30, 12:00 PM2E vs 2IPre-tournament2I2I54%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M079Tue, Jun 30, 7:00 PM1A vs 3CEFHIPre-tournament1A1A58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M080Wed, Jul 1, 12:00 PM1L vs 3EHIJKPre-tournament1L1L76%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M081Wed, Jul 1, 5:00 PM1D vs 3BEFIJPre-tournament1D1D59%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M082Wed, Jul 1, 1:00 PM1G vs 3AEHIJPre-tournament1G1G57%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M083Thu, Jul 2, 7:00 PM2K vs 2LPre-tournament2K2K55%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M084Thu, Jul 2, 12:00 PM1H vs 2JPre-tournament1H1H72%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M085Thu, Jul 2, 8:00 PM1B vs 3EFGIJPre-tournament1B1B54%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M086Fri, Jul 3, 6:00 PM1J vs 2HPre-tournament1J1J58%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M087Fri, Jul 3, 8:30 PM1K vs 3DEIJLPre-tournament1K1K72%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M088Fri, Jul 3, 1:00 PM2D vs 2GPre-tournament2D2D56%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M089Sat, Jul 4, 5:00 PMW74 vs W77Pre-tournamentW77W7757%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M090Sat, Jul 4, 12:00 PMW73 vs W75Pre-tournamentW75W7563%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M091Sun, Jul 5, 4:00 PMW76 vs W78Pre-tournamentW76W7662%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M092Sun, Jul 5, 6:00 PMW79 vs W80Pre-tournamentW80W8058%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M093Mon, Jul 6, 2:00 PMW83 vs W84Pre-tournamentW84W8466%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M094Mon, Jul 6, 5:00 PMW81 vs W82Pre-tournamentW82W8252%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M095Tue, Jul 7, 12:00 PMW86 vs W88Pre-tournamentW86W8667%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M096Tue, Jul 7, 1:00 PMW85 vs W87Pre-tournamentW87W8762%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M097Thu, Jul 9, 4:00 PMW89 vs W90Pre-tournamentW89W8959%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M098Fri, Jul 10, 12:00 PMW93 vs W94Pre-tournamentW93W9368%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M099Sat, Jul 11, 5:00 PMW91 vs W92Pre-tournamentW91W9152%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M100Sat, Jul 11, 8:00 PMW95 vs W96Pre-tournamentW95W9555%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M101Tue, Jul 14, 2:00 PMW97 vs W98Pre-tournamentW98W9853%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M102Wed, Jul 15, 3:00 PMW99 vs W100Pre-tournamentW100W10051%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M103Sat, Jul 18, 5:00 PMRU101 vs RU102Pre-tournamentRU101RU10154%Game dayPendingNot run yet
M104Sun, Jul 19, 3:00 PMW101 vs W102Pre-tournamentW101W10156%Game dayPendingNot run yet

Insights

Quick read on this model's tournament shape.

Champion conviction56% on Spain

The champion pick is carried through the final bracket path.

Advancement calls24 group qualifiers

Each group has two projected teams advancing to the knockout stage.

Coverage104 match picks

Pre-tournament predictions are loaded for every listed match. Game-day predictions have not run yet.